Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in April (85.5% implied probability), reflecting 11 distinct incident days already recorded on Anthropic's status page through April 15—including elevated errors on Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code, plus model-specific issues with Sonnet 4.6. A recent cluster of disruptions on April 13 (Claude.ai login failures), 14 (degraded admin APIs), and 15 (widespread errors resolved after three hours) has amplified concerns over capacity constraints and scaling challenges as Anthropic pushes aggressive revenue growth amid AI competition. User backlash highlights persistent performance degradation, positioning 9-11 days (12%) as a hedge against stabilization, while lower buckets reflect skepticism of quick fixes before month-end. Ongoing monitoring of the status page remains key for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУйдет ли Клод на __ дней в апреле?
Уйдет ли Клод на __ дней в апреле?
Более 12 85%
9-11 12%
6-8 <1%
$64,087 Объем
$64,087 Объем
6-8
<1%
9-11
12%
Более 12
85%
Более 12 85%
9-11 12%
6-8 <1%
$64,087 Объем
$64,087 Объем
6-8
<1%
9-11
12%
Более 12
85%
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Claude experiencing downtime on 12+ days in April (85.5% implied probability), reflecting 11 distinct incident days already recorded on Anthropic's status page through April 15—including elevated errors on Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code, plus model-specific issues with Sonnet 4.6. A recent cluster of disruptions on April 13 (Claude.ai login failures), 14 (degraded admin APIs), and 15 (widespread errors resolved after three hours) has amplified concerns over capacity constraints and scaling challenges as Anthropic pushes aggressive revenue growth amid AI competition. User backlash highlights persistent performance degradation, positioning 9-11 days (12%) as a hedge against stabilization, while lower buckets reflect skepticism of quick fixes before month-end. Ongoing monitoring of the status page remains key for traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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