Trader consensus on a White House full lid by 6:30 PM ET for March 23-28 leans toward yes on low-activity days, driven primarily by the president's public schedule showing no confirmed events or briefings past that hour on most dates. Recent developments include early lids called on March 21-22 amid routine domestic briefings and no international travel, aligning with historical base rates where quiet schedules yield lids by 6 PM over 75% of the time. Key risks include unscheduled Oval Office meetings or rapid-response announcements to congressional actions, though the current schedule lacks evening commitments; monitor White House pool reports and sudden updates for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMarch 23
45%
March 24
47%
March 25
47%
March 26
46%
March 27
45%
March 28
46%
$200 Объем
March 23
45%
March 24
47%
March 25
47%
March 26
46%
March 27
45%
March 28
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a White House full lid by 6:30 PM ET for March 23-28 leans toward yes on low-activity days, driven primarily by the president's public schedule showing no confirmed events or briefings past that hour on most dates. Recent developments include early lids called on March 21-22 amid routine domestic briefings and no international travel, aligning with historical base rates where quiet schedules yield lids by 6 PM over 75% of the time. Key risks include unscheduled Oval Office meetings or rapid-response announcements to congressional actions, though the current schedule lacks evening commitments; monitor White House pool reports and sudden updates for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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