Trader consensus on a 63% chance that Donald Trump faces House impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms. Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority, but polling and historical midterm patterns favor Democrats regaining control, granting subpoena power and the ability to advance articles of impeachment in the 120th Congress. Trump has publicly warned that a GOP loss could trigger such proceedings, while Democratic leaders have signaled broad investigations into administration-related matters as a priority over rushed impeachment votes. The remaining two-plus years of the term provide ample procedural window once divided government returns, consistent with past instances of opposition-led chambers pursuing charges against sitting presidents. Senate conviction thresholds and timing uncertainties temper but do not eliminate the assessed probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Будет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Да
63% вероятность
$89,702 Объем
$89,702 Объем
20 янв. 2029 г.
Да
63% вероятность
$89,702 Объем
$89,702 Объем
20 янв. 2029 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on a 63% chance that Donald Trump faces House impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms. Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority, but polling and historical midterm patterns favor Democrats regaining control, granting subpoena power and the ability to advance articles of impeachment in the 120th Congress. Trump has publicly warned that a GOP loss could trigger such proceedings, while Democratic leaders have signaled broad investigations into administration-related matters as a priority over rushed impeachment votes. The remaining two-plus years of the term provide ample procedural window once divided government returns, consistent with past instances of opposition-led chambers pursuing charges against sitting presidents. Senate conviction thresholds and timing uncertainties temper but do not eliminate the assessed probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$89,702Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on a 63% chance that Donald Trump faces House impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms. Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority, but polling and historical midterm patterns favor Democrats regaining control, granting subpoena power and the ability to advance articles of impeachment in the 120th Congress. Trump has publicly warned that a GOP loss could trigger such proceedings, while Democratic leaders have signaled broad investigations into administration-related matters as a priority over rushed impeachment votes. The remaining two-plus years of the term provide ample procedural window once divided government returns, consistent with past instances of opposition-led chambers pursuing charges against sitting presidents. Senate conviction thresholds and timing uncertainties temper but do not eliminate the assessed probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$89,702Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a 63% chance that Donald Trump faces House impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms. Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority, but polling and historical midterm patterns favor Democrats regaining control, granting subpoena power and the ability to advance articles of impeachment in the 120th Congress. Trump has publicly warned that a GOP loss could trigger such proceedings, while Democratic leaders have signaled broad investigations into administration-related matters as a priority over rushed impeachment votes. The remaining two-plus years of the term provide ample procedural window once divided government returns, consistent with past instances of opposition-led chambers pursuing charges against sitting presidents. Senate conviction thresholds and timing uncertainties temper but do not eliminate the assessed probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы