GOP majorities in both the House and Senate form the primary barrier to impeachment, with Republicans holding a slim 220-215 House edge and 53-47 Senate control after the 2024 elections, making House passage and Senate conviction (requiring 67 votes) unlikely absent major party defections. Trader sentiment tilts slightly toward "No" at 51.5% amid no active articles of impeachment and dismissal of prior federal cases against Trump, though competitive odds reflect risks from his history of controversies and potential Democratic pushes on issues like foreign policy actions or January 6-related probes. Tipping factors include a high-impact scandal sparking bipartisan House support or, conversely, unified GOP loyalty and smooth transition post-inauguration on January 20, 2025.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$1,516Дата окончания
Jan 20, 2029Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$1,516Дата окончания
Jan 20, 2029Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...GOP majorities in both the House and Senate form the primary barrier to impeachment, with Republicans holding a slim 220-215 House edge and 53-47 Senate control after the 2024 elections, making House passage and Senate conviction (requiring 67 votes) unlikely absent major party defections. Trader sentiment tilts slightly toward "No" at 51.5% amid no active articles of impeachment and dismissal of prior federal cases against Trump, though competitive odds reflect risks from his history of controversies and potential Democratic pushes on issues like foreign policy actions or January 6-related probes. Tipping factors include a high-impact scandal sparking bipartisan House support or, conversely, unified GOP loyalty and smooth transition post-inauguration on January 20, 2025.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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