Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress block any realistic path to House passage of articles of impeachment before the November 2026 midterms. Democratic resolutions introduced in response to the 2026 Iran conflict advanced no further than committee, reflecting the absence of GOP support required for floor action. Even if Democrats gain the House in the midterms, the new Congress convenes only in January 2027, leaving insufficient calendar time before December 31, 2026. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent for “No” therefore rests on these institutional and scheduling barriers rather than approval of the president’s conduct. Narrow remaining risks include an unforeseen bipartisan coalition during the lame-duck session or accelerated procedural maneuvers immediately after the election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$987,960 Объем
$987,960 Объем
Да
$987,960 Объем
$987,960 Объем
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in both chambers of the 119th Congress block any realistic path to House passage of articles of impeachment before the November 2026 midterms. Democratic resolutions introduced in response to the 2026 Iran conflict advanced no further than committee, reflecting the absence of GOP support required for floor action. Even if Democrats gain the House in the midterms, the new Congress convenes only in January 2027, leaving insufficient calendar time before December 31, 2026. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent for “No” therefore rests on these institutional and scheduling barriers rather than approval of the president’s conduct. Narrow remaining risks include an unforeseen bipartisan coalition during the lame-duck session or accelerated procedural maneuvers immediately after the election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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