Sports·Chess

Hikaru Nakamura vs Fabiano Caruana

Polymarket
Hikaru Nakamura
Hikaru Nakamura
12:45 PMApril 7
Fabiano Caruana
Fabiano Caruana
$426.37 Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$426 Vol.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, Round 8 pits struggling leader-chaser Hikaru Nakamura (2.5/7 points) against solid second-place Fabiano Caruana (4.5/7), fueling trader consensus for a 48.5% draw probability amid their evenly matched implied odds. Nakamura, the top-rated 2810 player with white pieces, has endured early setbacks—including a Round 1 classical loss to Caruana and a Round 5 defeat to leader Javokhir Sindarov (6/7)—followed by five straight draws, reflecting cautious play to avoid further damage in his uphill tournament battle. Caruana's steady form, bolstered by recent wins over Matthias Bluebaum (Round 6) and Wei Yi (Round 5) plus Round 7 draws, positions him comfortably despite ceding black; their Round 1 head-to-head tilts slightly his way, but Nakamura's desperation for points keeps the matchup competitive with upset potential.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$426
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 5, 2026, 10:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://lichess.org/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Caruana vs. Nakamura” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Chess game between the Fabiano Caruana and the Hikaru Nakamura, scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Caruana is currently priced at 26¢ (26% implied probability) and Nakamura at 14¢ (14%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Caruana vs. Nakamura” market has generated $426 in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Caruana vs. Nakamura,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows FCARUA at 26¢ and HNAKAM at 14¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Caruana vs. Nakamura” show Fabiano Caruana at 26¢ (26% implied probability) and Hikaru Nakamura at 14¢ (14%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Caruana vs. Nakamura” market resolves based on the official final score of the Chess game as reported by Chess’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·Chess

Hikaru Nakamura vs Fabiano Caruana

Polymarket
Hikaru Nakamura
Hikaru Nakamura
12:45 PMApril 7
Fabiano Caruana
Fabiano Caruana
$426.37 Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$426 Vol.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, Round 8 pits struggling leader-chaser Hikaru Nakamura (2.5/7 points) against solid second-place Fabiano Caruana (4.5/7), fueling trader consensus for a 48.5% draw probability amid their evenly matched implied odds. Nakamura, the top-rated 2810 player with white pieces, has endured early setbacks—including a Round 1 classical loss to Caruana and a Round 5 defeat to leader Javokhir Sindarov (6/7)—followed by five straight draws, reflecting cautious play to avoid further damage in his uphill tournament battle. Caruana's steady form, bolstered by recent wins over Matthias Bluebaum (Round 6) and Wei Yi (Round 5) plus Round 7 draws, positions him comfortably despite ceding black; their Round 1 head-to-head tilts slightly his way, but Nakamura's desperation for points keeps the matchup competitive with upset potential.

In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$426
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 5, 2026, 10:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://lichess.org/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Caruana vs. Nakamura” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the Chess game between the Fabiano Caruana and the Hikaru Nakamura, scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Caruana is currently priced at 26¢ (26% implied probability) and Nakamura at 14¢ (14%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Caruana vs. Nakamura” market has generated $426 in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Caruana vs. Nakamura,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows FCARUA at 26¢ and HNAKAM at 14¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Caruana vs. Nakamura” show Fabiano Caruana at 26¢ (26% implied probability) and Hikaru Nakamura at 14¢ (14%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Caruana vs. Nakamura” market resolves based on the official final score of the Chess game as reported by Chess’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.