Ongoing federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell have produced search warrants and device seizures in mid-August 2026 but no formal charges as of early September. Prosecutors in the Northern District of California are examining potential civil rights violations under Section 242 tied to his former official role, while the Manhattan District Attorney’s office and Los Angeles authorities review related state-level claims; however, complex cases involving former members of Congress typically require extended review of evidence and witness statements before indictments. The narrow window remaining before the September 30 resolution date limits the scope for new developments that could alter the current trajectory. Trader consensus at 84% for “No” aligns with the absence of charging announcements or accelerated prosecutorial timelines in comparable matters.