Nicolás Maduro has been held in a Brooklyn federal jail since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military raid on his Caracas residence, facing narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges that carry potential life sentences. A June 2027 trial date has been set, with defense motions to dismiss on grounds of head-of-state immunity and the legality of his apprehension scheduled for hearings later this year. Argentina’s extradition request for crimes-against-humanity allegations adds procedural complexity, while experts note a strong evidentiary record from years of prior indictments yet highlight risks that pretrial rulings, plea negotiations, or political transitions could alter outcomes. These unresolved legal and diplomatic variables sustain tight market pricing between no prison time and lengthy sentences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วไม่มีโทษจำคุก 40%
60+ 35%
20–40 12.3%
40–60 6.9%
$676,987 ปริมาณ
$676,987 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2027
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
40%
<20
6%
20–40
12%
40–60
7%
60+
35%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 40%
60+ 35%
20–40 12.3%
40–60 6.9%
$676,987 ปริมาณ
$676,987 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2027
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
$438,212 ปริมาณ
40%
<20
$106,886 ปริมาณ
6%
20–40
$56,544 ปริมาณ
12%
40–60
$24,368 ปริมาณ
7%
60+
$50,978 ปริมาณ
35%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has been held in a Brooklyn federal jail since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military raid on his Caracas residence, facing narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges that carry potential life sentences. A June 2027 trial date has been set, with defense motions to dismiss on grounds of head-of-state immunity and the legality of his apprehension scheduled for hearings later this year. Argentina’s extradition request for crimes-against-humanity allegations adds procedural complexity, while experts note a strong evidentiary record from years of prior indictments yet highlight risks that pretrial rulings, plea negotiations, or political transitions could alter outcomes. These unresolved legal and diplomatic variables sustain tight market pricing between no prison time and lengthy sentences.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$676,987วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has been held in a Brooklyn federal jail since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military raid on his Caracas residence, facing narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges that carry potential life sentences. A June 2027 trial date has been set, with defense motions to dismiss on grounds of head-of-state immunity and the legality of his apprehension scheduled for hearings later this year. Argentina’s extradition request for crimes-against-humanity allegations adds procedural complexity, while experts note a strong evidentiary record from years of prior indictments yet highlight risks that pretrial rulings, plea negotiations, or political transitions could alter outcomes. These unresolved legal and diplomatic variables sustain tight market pricing between no prison time and lengthy sentences.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$676,987วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro has been held in a Brooklyn federal jail since his January 2026 capture by U.S. forces during a military raid on his Caracas residence, facing narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges that carry potential life sentences. A June 2027 trial date has been set, with defense motions to dismiss on grounds of head-of-state immunity and the legality of his apprehension scheduled for hearings later this year. Argentina’s extradition request for crimes-against-humanity allegations adds procedural complexity, while experts note a strong evidentiary record from years of prior indictments yet highlight risks that pretrial rulings, plea negotiations, or political transitions could alter outcomes. These unresolved legal and diplomatic variables sustain tight market pricing between no prison time and lengthy sentences.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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