The tight market pricing across dozens of candidates for the upcoming Vaimauga 3 by-election reflects deep uncertainty following the June 2026 Electoral Court ruling that disqualified the May winner Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai and runner-up Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu over corrupt practices, reopening the seat. Multiple independents and party-affiliated contenders, including Puaʻalatamai Filemoni and others, are competing on local priorities such as infrastructure, water supply, roads, and cost-of-living pressures in the constituency's villages, while party-hopping rules and the risk of further legal challenges add volatility. Traders see no dominant frontrunner, with the fragmented field and absence of recent polling keeping implied probabilities evenly dispersed until clearer signals emerge from campaigning or endorsements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 44%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 43%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 43%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
44%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
43%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
43%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
43%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 44%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 43%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 43%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
44%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
43%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
43%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The tight market pricing across dozens of candidates for the upcoming Vaimauga 3 by-election reflects deep uncertainty following the June 2026 Electoral Court ruling that disqualified the May winner Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai and runner-up Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu over corrupt practices, reopening the seat. Multiple independents and party-affiliated contenders, including Puaʻalatamai Filemoni and others, are competing on local priorities such as infrastructure, water supply, roads, and cost-of-living pressures in the constituency's villages, while party-hopping rules and the risk of further legal challenges add volatility. Traders see no dominant frontrunner, with the fragmented field and absence of recent polling keeping implied probabilities evenly dispersed until clearer signals emerge from campaigning or endorsements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu win the Falealili 1 by-election?
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย