In Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, Québec solidaire incumbent Alexandre Leduc faces a tight contest against Parti Québécois challenger Maude Brossard-Sabourin ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial vote. The riding’s left-leaning Montreal demographics and history of strong QS support create a base-rate advantage for the incumbent, yet recent 338Canada projections show PQ vote share rising to the low 30s while QS holds near 40 percent, reflecting broader provincial momentum for the PQ. Candidate announcements, including Brossard-Sabourin’s May 2026 nomination and emphasis on local inequalities and social economy, have kept the race competitive. With no decisive late-campaign events or riding-specific polling shifts, trader consensus prices the outcome near even odds, leaving room for separation from turnout patterns or final-week developments in this multi-candidate field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Maude Brossard-Sabourin 45%
Alexandre Leduc 43%
Elena Penta 27%
Béatrice Hodonou 27%
Maude Brossard-Sabourin
45%
Alexandre Leduc
43%
Elena Penta
27%
Béatrice Hodonou
27%
Janny Gaspard
25%
Maude Brossard-Sabourin 45%
Alexandre Leduc 43%
Elena Penta 27%
Béatrice Hodonou 27%
Maude Brossard-Sabourin
45%
Alexandre Leduc
43%
Elena Penta
27%
Béatrice Hodonou
27%
Janny Gaspard
25%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...In Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, Québec solidaire incumbent Alexandre Leduc faces a tight contest against Parti Québécois challenger Maude Brossard-Sabourin ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial vote. The riding’s left-leaning Montreal demographics and history of strong QS support create a base-rate advantage for the incumbent, yet recent 338Canada projections show PQ vote share rising to the low 30s while QS holds near 40 percent, reflecting broader provincial momentum for the PQ. Candidate announcements, including Brossard-Sabourin’s May 2026 nomination and emphasis on local inequalities and social economy, have kept the race competitive. With no decisive late-campaign events or riding-specific polling shifts, trader consensus prices the outcome near even odds, leaving room for separation from turnout patterns or final-week developments in this multi-candidate field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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