The Falealili 1 by-election in Samoa, set for September 18, 2026, follows the Court of Appeal’s June ruling upholding the voiding of former Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 FAST victory on bribery grounds. This has produced a fragmented field of roughly a dozen candidates, including returning HRPP contenders Tuiloma Laniselota Lameko and Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu alongside independents and others. With nominations finalized and little time for consolidation, trader consensus reflects vote-splitting risks and the absence of a clear frontrunner in a constituency that has historically alternated between the two main parties. Upcoming campaign events or withdrawals before the September 4 deadline could shift implied probabilities by clarifying the effective two-way matchup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTaveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 26%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 23%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 18%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
26%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
23%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
18%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
16%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
8%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
7%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
7%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 26%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 23%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 18%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai 16%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
26%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
23%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
18%
Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
16%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
8%
Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
7%
Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
7%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Falealili 1 by-election in Samoa, set for September 18, 2026, follows the Court of Appeal’s June ruling upholding the voiding of former Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 FAST victory on bribery grounds. This has produced a fragmented field of roughly a dozen candidates, including returning HRPP contenders Tuiloma Laniselota Lameko and Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu alongside independents and others. With nominations finalized and little time for consolidation, trader consensus reflects vote-splitting risks and the absence of a clear frontrunner in a constituency that has historically alternated between the two main parties. Upcoming campaign events or withdrawals before the September 4 deadline could shift implied probabilities by clarifying the effective two-way matchup.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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