The Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest in Groulx between incumbent CAQ Finance Minister Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin. Sarrazin, a lawyer who served as prosecutor on the Gallant Commission investigating the SAAQclic procurement issues, was announced by PQ Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon in mid-August to emphasize accountability and public spending oversight. Girard, who has represented the riding since 2018, faces headwinds from provincial polling showing the CAQ and PQ statistically tied overall, with Groulx projected as a toss-up by models such as 338Canada. Other candidates including Liberal Julie Tourangeau and Québec solidaire’s Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail significantly in implied probabilities. The race remains closely balanced due to shifting voter priorities on fiscal management and sovereignty-related themes, with nomination deadlines and ongoing campaign events likely to influence final separation before election day.