New Zealand First leads trader expectations for third place in the November 2026 election amid recent polling gains that have lifted the party to double-digit support levels not seen in nearly a decade. Its upward trajectory reflects campaign momentum, including a high-profile launch and policy focus on energy and economic issues, positioning it ahead of other minor parties in seat projections under MMP rules. The Green Party trails in the market but remains competitive through consistent backing in left-leaning polls, while ACT has slipped in recent surveys and Opportunity gains threaten to fragment smaller-party votes. National and Labour continue to anchor first- and second-place expectations in most aggregates, leaving the third slot sensitive to late shifts in minor-party thresholds and coalition dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 54%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.5%
National Party 1.2%
$13,442 ปริมาณ
$13,442 ปริมาณ
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
54%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 54%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.5%
National Party 1.2%
$13,442 ปริมาณ
$13,442 ปริมาณ
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$5,126 ปริมาณ
54%
Green Party
$5,360 ปริมาณ
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 ปริมาณ
2%
National Party
$415 ปริมาณ
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 ปริมาณ
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 ปริมาณ
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).New Zealand First leads trader expectations for third place in the November 2026 election amid recent polling gains that have lifted the party to double-digit support levels not seen in nearly a decade. Its upward trajectory reflects campaign momentum, including a high-profile launch and policy focus on energy and economic issues, positioning it ahead of other minor parties in seat projections under MMP rules. The Green Party trails in the market but remains competitive through consistent backing in left-leaning polls, while ACT has slipped in recent surveys and Opportunity gains threaten to fragment smaller-party votes. National and Labour continue to anchor first- and second-place expectations in most aggregates, leaving the third slot sensitive to late shifts in minor-party thresholds and coalition dynamics.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,442วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).New Zealand First leads trader expectations for third place in the November 2026 election amid recent polling gains that have lifted the party to double-digit support levels not seen in nearly a decade. Its upward trajectory reflects campaign momentum, including a high-profile launch and policy focus on energy and economic issues, positioning it ahead of other minor parties in seat projections under MMP rules. The Green Party trails in the market but remains competitive through consistent backing in left-leaning polls, while ACT has slipped in recent surveys and Opportunity gains threaten to fragment smaller-party votes. National and Labour continue to anchor first- and second-place expectations in most aggregates, leaving the third slot sensitive to late shifts in minor-party thresholds and coalition dynamics.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,442วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...New Zealand First leads trader expectations for third place in the November 2026 election amid recent polling gains that have lifted the party to double-digit support levels not seen in nearly a decade. Its upward trajectory reflects campaign momentum, including a high-profile launch and policy focus on energy and economic issues, positioning it ahead of other minor parties in seat projections under MMP rules. The Green Party trails in the market but remains competitive through consistent backing in left-leaning polls, while ACT has slipped in recent surveys and Opportunity gains threaten to fragment smaller-party votes. National and Labour continue to anchor first- and second-place expectations in most aggregates, leaving the third slot sensitive to late shifts in minor-party thresholds and coalition dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
38%
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย