Recent polling for New Zealand's 7 November general election shows National and Labour trading narrow leads in party vote support, with both major parties well ahead of smaller competitors such as the Greens, ACT, and New Zealand First. This volatility, driven by shifting economic sentiment, coalition government performance under Prime Minister Christopher Luxon, and Labour's opposition positioning under Chris Hipkins, keeps the race for second place highly competitive. Traders see limited scope for smaller parties to overtake either major contender before election day. Late-campaign events, including policy releases, economic indicators, or turnout shifts among key voter blocs, could widen the gap between the two front-runners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 50%
Labour Party 48%
New Zealand First Party 1.8%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$20,410 ปริมาณ
$20,410 ปริมาณ
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
50%
Labour Party
48%
New Zealand First Party
2%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Green Party
<1%
National Party 50%
Labour Party 48%
New Zealand First Party 1.8%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$20,410 ปริมาณ
$20,410 ปริมาณ
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
$9,843 ปริมาณ
50%
Labour Party
$5,850 ปริมาณ
48%
New Zealand First Party
$1,385 ปริมาณ
2%
ACT New Zealand
$1,319 ปริมาณ
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,397 ปริมาณ
<1%
Green Party
$617 ปริมาณ
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand's 7 November general election shows National and Labour trading narrow leads in party vote support, with both major parties well ahead of smaller competitors such as the Greens, ACT, and New Zealand First. This volatility, driven by shifting economic sentiment, coalition government performance under Prime Minister Christopher Luxon, and Labour's opposition positioning under Chris Hipkins, keeps the race for second place highly competitive. Traders see limited scope for smaller parties to overtake either major contender before election day. Late-campaign events, including policy releases, economic indicators, or turnout shifts among key voter blocs, could widen the gap between the two front-runners.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,410วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand's 7 November general election shows National and Labour trading narrow leads in party vote support, with both major parties well ahead of smaller competitors such as the Greens, ACT, and New Zealand First. This volatility, driven by shifting economic sentiment, coalition government performance under Prime Minister Christopher Luxon, and Labour's opposition positioning under Chris Hipkins, keeps the race for second place highly competitive. Traders see limited scope for smaller parties to overtake either major contender before election day. Late-campaign events, including policy releases, economic indicators, or turnout shifts among key voter blocs, could widen the gap between the two front-runners.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,410วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand's 7 November general election shows National and Labour trading narrow leads in party vote support, with both major parties well ahead of smaller competitors such as the Greens, ACT, and New Zealand First. This volatility, driven by shifting economic sentiment, coalition government performance under Prime Minister Christopher Luxon, and Labour's opposition positioning under Chris Hipkins, keeps the race for second place highly competitive. Traders see limited scope for smaller parties to overtake either major contender before election day. Late-campaign events, including policy releases, economic indicators, or turnout shifts among key voter blocs, could widen the gap between the two front-runners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
54%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
57%
Labour
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