The Fed’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through mid-2026, alongside persistent core inflation near 3.5% and solid GDP expansion, anchors the 94% market-implied odds against an emergency cut before 2027. FOMC participants, including new Chair Kevin Warsh, have prioritized price stability over near-term easing, with recent dot plots and communications signaling possible hikes later this year rather than accommodation. Stable labor market conditions and resilient consumer spending further reduce the need for rapid intervention. A sharp rise in unemployment, abrupt recession signals, or a major financial shock could still shift trader sentiment toward easing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6% โอกาส
$122,740 ปริมาณ
$122,740 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
6% โอกาส
$122,740 ปริมาณ
$122,740 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Fed’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through mid-2026, alongside persistent core inflation near 3.5% and solid GDP expansion, anchors the 94% market-implied odds against an emergency cut before 2027. FOMC participants, including new Chair Kevin Warsh, have prioritized price stability over near-term easing, with recent dot plots and communications signaling possible hikes later this year rather than accommodation. Stable labor market conditions and resilient consumer spending further reduce the need for rapid intervention. A sharp rise in unemployment, abrupt recession signals, or a major financial shock could still shift trader sentiment toward easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$122,740วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Fed’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through mid-2026, alongside persistent core inflation near 3.5% and solid GDP expansion, anchors the 94% market-implied odds against an emergency cut before 2027. FOMC participants, including new Chair Kevin Warsh, have prioritized price stability over near-term easing, with recent dot plots and communications signaling possible hikes later this year rather than accommodation. Stable labor market conditions and resilient consumer spending further reduce the need for rapid intervention. A sharp rise in unemployment, abrupt recession signals, or a major financial shock could still shift trader sentiment toward easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$122,740วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Fed’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through mid-2026, alongside persistent core inflation near 3.5% and solid GDP expansion, anchors the 94% market-implied odds against an emergency cut before 2027. FOMC participants, including new Chair Kevin Warsh, have prioritized price stability over near-term easing, with recent dot plots and communications signaling possible hikes later this year rather than accommodation. Stable labor market conditions and resilient consumer spending further reduce the need for rapid intervention. A sharp rise in unemployment, abrupt recession signals, or a major financial shock could still shift trader sentiment toward easing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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