Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 9th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by his strong incumbency advantage in the solidly Republican R+17 district and superior cash on hand of $337,733 per March 31 FEC filings, outpacing challenger former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon ($220,096) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole ($117,446). Couvillon leads total fundraising at $679,809 raised but has spent heavily on early campaigning. The March 23 district GOP debate featured all three but showed no momentum shift toward challengers, who cite local focus over Clyde's national profile. Early voting begins April 27, with historical primary incumbency win rates above 90% underscoring barriers to an upset absent late-breaking endorsements or scandals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGA-09 Republican Primary Winner
GA-09 Republican Primary Winner
Andrew Clyde 88%
Sam Couvillon 9%
Gregg Poole 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
Andrew Clyde
88%
Sam Couvillon
9%
Gregg Poole
6%
Andrew Clyde 88%
Sam Couvillon 9%
Gregg Poole 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
Andrew Clyde
$335 ปริมาณ
88%
Sam Couvillon
$121 ปริมาณ
9%
Gregg Poole
$4,251 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 9th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by his strong incumbency advantage in the solidly Republican R+17 district and superior cash on hand of $337,733 per March 31 FEC filings, outpacing challenger former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon ($220,096) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole ($117,446). Couvillon leads total fundraising at $679,809 raised but has spent heavily on early campaigning. The March 23 district GOP debate featured all three but showed no momentum shift toward challengers, who cite local focus over Clyde's national profile. Early voting begins April 27, with historical primary incumbency win rates above 90% underscoring barriers to an upset absent late-breaking endorsements or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,707วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 9th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by his strong incumbency advantage in the solidly Republican R+17 district and superior cash on hand of $337,733 per March 31 FEC filings, outpacing challenger former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon ($220,096) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole ($117,446). Couvillon leads total fundraising at $679,809 raised but has spent heavily on early campaigning. The March 23 district GOP debate featured all three but showed no momentum shift toward challengers, who cite local focus over Clyde's national profile. Early voting begins April 27, with historical primary incumbency win rates above 90% underscoring barriers to an upset absent late-breaking endorsements or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,707วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 9th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by his strong incumbency advantage in the solidly Republican R+17 district and superior cash on hand of $337,733 per March 31 FEC filings, outpacing challenger former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon ($220,096) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole ($117,446). Couvillon leads total fundraising at $679,809 raised but has spent heavily on early campaigning. The March 23 district GOP debate featured all three but showed no momentum shift toward challengers, who cite local focus over Clyde's national profile. Early voting begins April 27, with historical primary incumbency win rates above 90% underscoring barriers to an upset absent late-breaking endorsements or scandals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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