Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution authority—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavily overcast skies and northerly winds that suppressed solar heating and advection of warmer air. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mid-teens highs under persistent low cloud cover, matching early May climatological averages of around 16°C for the region. While resolved with high certainty via automated sensor data and quality-controlled measurements, realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for instrument anomalies or microsite discrepancies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 10?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 10?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$58,237 ปริมาณ
$58,237 ปริมาณ
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$58,237 ปริมาณ
$58,237 ปริมาณ
May 10, 2026
12°C or below
$2,299 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,218 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$4,548 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$14,736 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$9,611 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$13,707 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$3,855 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,560 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,438 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,164 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$1,100 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution authority—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavily overcast skies and northerly winds that suppressed solar heating and advection of warmer air. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mid-teens highs under persistent low cloud cover, matching early May climatological averages of around 16°C for the region. While resolved with high certainty via automated sensor data and quality-controlled measurements, realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for instrument anomalies or microsite discrepancies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,237วันสิ้นสุด
May 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution authority—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavily overcast skies and northerly winds that suppressed solar heating and advection of warmer air. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mid-teens highs under persistent low cloud cover, matching early May climatological averages of around 16°C for the region. While resolved with high certainty via automated sensor data and quality-controlled measurements, realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for instrument anomalies or microsite discrepancies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,237วันสิ้นสุด
May 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol station—the market's resolution authority—recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C on May 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid heavily overcast skies and northerly winds that suppressed solar heating and advection of warmer air. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting mid-teens highs under persistent low cloud cover, matching early May climatological averages of around 16°C for the region. While resolved with high certainty via automated sensor data and quality-controlled measurements, realistic challenges include rare post-processing revisions for instrument anomalies or microsite discrepancies, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 0.1% of daily records. Traders await no further updates as the market nears final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย