Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on April 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 14?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$135,882 ปริมาณ
$135,882 ปริมาณ
Apr 14, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$135,882 ปริมาณ
$135,882 ปริมาณ
Apr 14, 2026
11°C or below
$5,402 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,947 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$17,581 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$17,894 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$14,053 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$23,324 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$14,563 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C
$19,691 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$12,674 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,575 ปริมาณ
No
21°C or higher
$4,177 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$135,882วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$135,882วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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