Ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 12°C in Ankara on April 19, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 31% implied probability amid closely contested alternatives around 11–14°C. This positioning reflects persistent cool northerly airflow and a deepening upper-level trough over central Turkey, fostering cloudy conditions with scattered showers that cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 16–18°C. Model ensembles show spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and precipitation timing, which could either suppress or allow slight warming via insolation. Recent cold intrusions earlier in April have entrenched this pattern, but new observational data and forecast updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service every 6–12 hours may refine probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
12°C 32%
14°C or higher 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 19, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
20%
12°C
32%
13°C
21%
14°C or higher
23%
12°C 32%
14°C or higher 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 19, 2026
4°C or below
$1,234 ปริมาณ
<1%
5°C
$495 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$496 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$457 ปริมาณ
1%
8°C
$777 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$416 ปริมาณ
2%
10°C
$266 ปริมาณ
7%
11°C
$489 ปริมาณ
20%
12°C
$698 ปริมาณ
32%
13°C
$795 ปริมาณ
21%
14°C or higher
$1,093 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 12°C in Ankara on April 19, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 31% implied probability amid closely contested alternatives around 11–14°C. This positioning reflects persistent cool northerly airflow and a deepening upper-level trough over central Turkey, fostering cloudy conditions with scattered showers that cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 16–18°C. Model ensembles show spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and precipitation timing, which could either suppress or allow slight warming via insolation. Recent cold intrusions earlier in April have entrenched this pattern, but new observational data and forecast updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service every 6–12 hours may refine probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,195วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 12°C in Ankara on April 19, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 31% implied probability amid closely contested alternatives around 11–14°C. This positioning reflects persistent cool northerly airflow and a deepening upper-level trough over central Turkey, fostering cloudy conditions with scattered showers that cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 16–18°C. Model ensembles show spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and precipitation timing, which could either suppress or allow slight warming via insolation. Recent cold intrusions earlier in April have entrenched this pattern, but new observational data and forecast updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service every 6–12 hours may refine probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,195วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 12°C in Ankara on April 19, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 31% implied probability amid closely contested alternatives around 11–14°C. This positioning reflects persistent cool northerly airflow and a deepening upper-level trough over central Turkey, fostering cloudy conditions with scattered showers that cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 16–18°C. Model ensembles show spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and precipitation timing, which could either suppress or allow slight warming via insolation. Recent cold intrusions earlier in April have entrenched this pattern, but new observational data and forecast updates from the Turkish State Meteorological Service every 6–12 hours may refine probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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