Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on April 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 25?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$103,990 ปริมาณ
$103,990 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$103,990 ปริมาณ
$103,990 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
10°C or below
$1,273 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$1,466 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,295 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,083 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$24,017 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$9,108 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$10,668 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$12,861 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$18,804 ปริมาณ
Yes
19°C
$11,767 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$10,649 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,990วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,990วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, peaked at 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-time hourly data rolled in throughout the day. This aligns with recent cool anomalies over the past week, where northerly winds and persistent cloud cover capped daily highs at 16–18°C, consistent with late-April climatological averages of about 17.3°C (Saffir-Simpson irrelevant here; standard surface measurements). Pre-event forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showed similar mild conditions without intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration by MGM, though maximum temperatures rarely shift post-validation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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