Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on April 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 26?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$75,334 ปริมาณ
$75,334 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$75,334 ปริมาณ
$75,334 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
13°C or below
$821 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$1,223 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,037 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,231 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$5,391 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$6,187 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$10,830 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$11,832 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$17,345 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$10,440 ปริมาณ
No
23°C or higher
$7,997 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,334วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,334วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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