Forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models points to a peak temperature of 34–35 °C in Ankara on 22 August under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. High pressure and subsidence associated with the broader North African/Middle Eastern heat wave maintain dry, warming air over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with little spread that would support 36 °C or higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor 34 °C or 35 °C because traders weight the official MGM observation at the primary Ankara station, which will resolve the contract once final hourly data are confirmed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
35°C 60%
34°C 34%
36°C 5%
33°C 2%
ใหม่
$11,173 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,173 ปริมาณ
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
34%
35°C
60%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 60%
34°C 34%
36°C 5%
33°C 2%
ใหม่
$11,173 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,173 ปริมาณ
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
$222 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$698 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,444 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$2,017 ปริมาณ
34%
35°C
$2,331 ปริมาณ
60%
36°C
$1,244 ปริมาณ
5%
37°C
$385 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$526 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$1,396 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models points to a peak temperature of 34–35 °C in Ankara on 22 August under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. High pressure and subsidence associated with the broader North African/Middle Eastern heat wave maintain dry, warming air over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with little spread that would support 36 °C or higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor 34 °C or 35 °C because traders weight the official MGM observation at the primary Ankara station, which will resolve the contract once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,173วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models points to a peak temperature of 34–35 °C in Ankara on 22 August under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. High pressure and subsidence associated with the broader North African/Middle Eastern heat wave maintain dry, warming air over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with little spread that would support 36 °C or higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor 34 °C or 35 °C because traders weight the official MGM observation at the primary Ankara station, which will resolve the contract once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,173วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models points to a peak temperature of 34–35 °C in Ankara on 22 August under clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. High pressure and subsidence associated with the broader North African/Middle Eastern heat wave maintain dry, warming air over the Anatolian plateau, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values, with little spread that would support 36 °C or higher. Market-implied odds heavily favor 34 °C or 35 °C because traders weight the official MGM observation at the primary Ankara station, which will resolve the contract once final hourly data are confirmed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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