Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,817 ปริมาณ
$71,817 ปริมาณ
Apr 17, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$71,817 ปริมาณ
$71,817 ปริมาณ
Apr 17, 2026
77°F or below
$3,884 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$1,915 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$2,151 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$2,093 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$20,080 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$5,134 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$10,699 ปริมาณ
Yes
90-91°F
$10,142 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$7,206 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$3,655 ปริมาณ
No
96°F or higher
$4,858 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,817วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,817วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) confirm the highest temperature on April 17, 2026, reached 89°F at 2:52 PM CDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome on Polymarket. This peak aligned with southerly winds sustaining above-normal warmth—9°F departure from the April average of 80°F—ahead of a late-season cold front, under partly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover. Short-range forecast models from NOAA accurately predicted this near-90°F high, reflecting consensus on upper-air ridging and low precipitation risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from ASOS instrumentation audits or discrepancies in Weather Underground archives, though official NWS reports carry authoritative weight for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย