Current meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Beijing on June 2 under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with early-June climatology where average highs reach approximately 30–31°C. This consensus supports the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for a peak of 33°C or below. Model runs show minimal risk of intensification due to the season’s transitional pattern before peak summer heating. Revised observational data or unexpected warm advection could shift outcomes toward 34°C, though such developments remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on June 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 2?
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$110,051 ปริมาณ
$110,051 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
33°C or below
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$110,051 ปริมาณ
$110,051 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
33°C or below
$42,974 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$13,683 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$9,880 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$12,887 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$8,867 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$8,656 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$3,543 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$3,594 ปริมาณ
No
41°C
$4,484 ปริมาณ
No
42°C
$637 ปริมาณ
No
43°C or higher
$846 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Beijing on June 2 under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with early-June climatology where average highs reach approximately 30–31°C. This consensus supports the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for a peak of 33°C or below. Model runs show minimal risk of intensification due to the season’s transitional pattern before peak summer heating. Revised observational data or unexpected warm advection could shift outcomes toward 34°C, though such developments remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,051วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Beijing on June 2 under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with early-June climatology where average highs reach approximately 30–31°C. This consensus supports the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for a peak of 33°C or below. Model runs show minimal risk of intensification due to the season’s transitional pattern before peak summer heating. Revised observational data or unexpected warm advection could shift outcomes toward 34°C, though such developments remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,051วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime high of 30–32°C for Beijing on June 2 under stable atmospheric conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with early-June climatology where average highs reach approximately 30–31°C. This consensus supports the market-implied probability exceeding 99% for a peak of 33°C or below. Model runs show minimal risk of intensification due to the season’s transitional pattern before peak summer heating. Revised observational data or unexpected warm advection could shift outcomes toward 34°C, though such developments remain unlikely based on the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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