Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on July 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 1?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$136,479 ปริมาณ
$136,479 ปริมาณ
Jul 1, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$136,479 ปริมาณ
$136,479 ปริมาณ
Jul 1, 2026
26°C or below
$14,601 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$18,536 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$19,716 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$17,050 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$14,084 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$15,064 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$10,072 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$10,778 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$6,493 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$4,959 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$5,128 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,479วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,479วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 31°C on July 1 under the southwest monsoon, with 40-60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31-32°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential, while the modest probabilities for 33-34°C reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages 31°C, yet day-to-day variability from convective activity and humidity can shift outcomes by 1-2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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