Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 1?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,378 ปริมาณ
$111,378 ปริมาณ
Jul 1, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$111,378 ปริมาณ
$111,378 ปริมาณ
Jul 1, 2026
24°C or below
$7,086 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$5,354 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,750 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,431 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$26,261 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$7,784 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$14,422 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$11,423 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$14,946 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$8,478 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C or higher
$11,443 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,378วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,378วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent monsoon advancement over northern India is the main driver moderating Lucknow's July 1 maximum, with official IMD guidance and multiple models projecting increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers that typically suppress peak temperatures by 3–6°C relative to late-June values near 40°C. Ensemble forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate place the daily high near 32–35°C, while climatological baselines for early July average 34°C; variability hinges on exact rainfall timing and steering patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5% probability for 34°C or higher versus 24.5% for exactly 32°C captures this uncertainty, as additional convective activity or delayed monsoon progression could still permit brief spikes above 34°C before resolution. Updated NWP runs over the next 48 hours will refine these bounds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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