Latest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on July 5?
98-99°F 38%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 7%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 38%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 7%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private-model guidance points to a July 5 high of 98–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and heat indices near 102–103 °F, aligning with the tight 29.5 % / 27.0 % market split between the 98–99 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical early-July Austin maxima average 96 °F; the current pattern features above-normal warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise cap temperatures. Model spread remains modest, but small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or afternoon mixing could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °F before the daily maximum is recorded. Final NWS updates overnight and on the morning of July 5 will provide the last observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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