Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$92,789 ปริมาณ
$92,789 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$92,789 ปริมาณ
$92,789 ปริมาณ
May 5, 2026
18°C or below
$15,380 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,078 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$7,627 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$10,775 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$9,360 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$12,107 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,675 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$11,915 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$7,989 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$5,020 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$2,863 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,789วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,789วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), the market's resolution source, confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 5 reached exactly 24°C, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability and driving the dominant positioning. This matches pre-event forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting a maximum around 24°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a stable high-pressure system suppressing further warming despite May's typical autumn highs of 18–20°C. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF showed consensus for mild conditions without significant heat advection. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official METAR reports or sensor recalibration, though such post hoc adjustments are infrequent in verified aviation-grade measurements. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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