Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Busan on July 2 clustered around 26–28°C, reflecting the market's tight distribution between those outcomes. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence and daytime heating, combined with warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that enhance moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Local factors such as Busan's coastal location introduce land-sea breeze effects that can moderate afternoon maxima, while any lingering monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end of the range. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in upper-level ridging or shortwave trough timing, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on July 2?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 2?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$77,417 ปริมาณ
$77,417 ปริมาณ
Jul 2, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$77,417 ปริมาณ
$77,417 ปริมาณ
Jul 2, 2026
23°C or below
$3,527 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,370 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$6,789 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$16,597 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$13,881 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$15,944 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$4,898 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,756 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,545 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$3,742 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$4,368 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Busan on July 2 clustered around 26–28°C, reflecting the market's tight distribution between those outcomes. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence and daytime heating, combined with warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that enhance moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Local factors such as Busan's coastal location introduce land-sea breeze effects that can moderate afternoon maxima, while any lingering monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end of the range. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in upper-level ridging or shortwave trough timing, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,417วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Busan on July 2 clustered around 26–28°C, reflecting the market's tight distribution between those outcomes. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence and daytime heating, combined with warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that enhance moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Local factors such as Busan's coastal location introduce land-sea breeze effects that can moderate afternoon maxima, while any lingering monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end of the range. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in upper-level ridging or shortwave trough timing, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$77,417วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show peak temperatures in Busan on July 2 clustered around 26–28°C, reflecting the market's tight distribution between those outcomes. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the North Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence and daytime heating, combined with warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that enhance moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Local factors such as Busan's coastal location introduce land-sea breeze effects that can moderate afternoon maxima, while any lingering monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover would favor the lower end of the range. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to small shifts in upper-level ridging or shortwave trough timing, with updated model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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