Traders see 17°C and 18°C as near-equally likely for Cape Town’s July 19 maximum because mid-winter forecasts from global models show daytime highs clustering around the 16–17°C climatological average shaped by the cold Benguela Current. A passing Atlantic cold front or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 17°C, while lighter winds and partial clearing support a brief rise to 18°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight this far ahead, with limited model disagreement on timing of any frontal passage. Historical July maxima rarely exceed 19°C or fall below 15°C without major synoptic shifts, keeping lower-probability brackets subdued. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 19?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 19?
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$28,436 ปริมาณ
$28,436 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$28,436 ปริมาณ
$28,436 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
12°C or below
$261 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,081 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$5,696 ปริมาณ
Yes
15°C
$3,852 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$3,677 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$3,842 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,971 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,526 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,559 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,677 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$293 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 17°C and 18°C as near-equally likely for Cape Town’s July 19 maximum because mid-winter forecasts from global models show daytime highs clustering around the 16–17°C climatological average shaped by the cold Benguela Current. A passing Atlantic cold front or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 17°C, while lighter winds and partial clearing support a brief rise to 18°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight this far ahead, with limited model disagreement on timing of any frontal passage. Historical July maxima rarely exceed 19°C or fall below 15°C without major synoptic shifts, keeping lower-probability brackets subdued. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,436วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 17°C and 18°C as near-equally likely for Cape Town’s July 19 maximum because mid-winter forecasts from global models show daytime highs clustering around the 16–17°C climatological average shaped by the cold Benguela Current. A passing Atlantic cold front or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 17°C, while lighter winds and partial clearing support a brief rise to 18°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight this far ahead, with limited model disagreement on timing of any frontal passage. Historical July maxima rarely exceed 19°C or fall below 15°C without major synoptic shifts, keeping lower-probability brackets subdued. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,436วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Traders see 17°C and 18°C as near-equally likely for Cape Town’s July 19 maximum because mid-winter forecasts from global models show daytime highs clustering around the 16–17°C climatological average shaped by the cold Benguela Current. A passing Atlantic cold front or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 17°C, while lighter winds and partial clearing support a brief rise to 18°C. Ensemble spreads remain tight this far ahead, with limited model disagreement on timing of any frontal passage. Historical July maxima rarely exceed 19°C or fall below 15°C without major synoptic shifts, keeping lower-probability brackets subdued. Updated model runs and South African Weather Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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