Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 23?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$113,268 ปริมาณ
$113,268 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$113,268 ปริมาณ
$113,268 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
17°C or below
$2,589 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,496 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,603 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$7,325 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$15,473 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,918 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$6,479 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$11,928 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$18,007 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$21,548 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$19,900 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,268วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$113,268วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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