Trader consensus for Chengdu’s June 18 peak clusters tightly around 30–31 °C (combined ~57 % implied probability) because early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically produce highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon convective clouds limit surface heating, while the official measurement at the urban station reflects these moderating effects. Recent model runs show only modest differences in solar exposure or timing of showers that could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C either way, keeping adjacent bins competitive. Later in the month, drier subtropical air can push readings above 33 °C, but mid-June climatology and current basin moisture favor the narrower 29–31 °C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,123 ปริมาณ
$84,123 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,123 ปริมาณ
$84,123 ปริมาณ
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
$5,180 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$7,824 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$5,265 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$8,357 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$32,204 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$10,405 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$7,765 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$2,989 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$1,814 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$637 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$1,684 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Chengdu’s June 18 peak clusters tightly around 30–31 °C (combined ~57 % implied probability) because early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically produce highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon convective clouds limit surface heating, while the official measurement at the urban station reflects these moderating effects. Recent model runs show only modest differences in solar exposure or timing of showers that could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C either way, keeping adjacent bins competitive. Later in the month, drier subtropical air can push readings above 33 °C, but mid-June climatology and current basin moisture favor the narrower 29–31 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,123วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Chengdu’s June 18 peak clusters tightly around 30–31 °C (combined ~57 % implied probability) because early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically produce highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon convective clouds limit surface heating, while the official measurement at the urban station reflects these moderating effects. Recent model runs show only modest differences in solar exposure or timing of showers that could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C either way, keeping adjacent bins competitive. Later in the month, drier subtropical air can push readings above 33 °C, but mid-June climatology and current basin moisture favor the narrower 29–31 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84,123วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus for Chengdu’s June 18 peak clusters tightly around 30–31 °C (combined ~57 % implied probability) because early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically produce highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon convective clouds limit surface heating, while the official measurement at the urban station reflects these moderating effects. Recent model runs show only modest differences in solar exposure or timing of showers that could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C either way, keeping adjacent bins competitive. Later in the month, drier subtropical air can push readings above 33 °C, but mid-June climatology and current basin moisture favor the narrower 29–31 °C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย