Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on May 13?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 13?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$205,924 ปริมาณ
$205,924 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$205,924 ปริมาณ
$205,924 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
47°F or below
$26,878 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$11,492 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$12,006 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$26,842 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$11,409 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$16,626 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$15,729 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$11,406 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$14,216 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$21,890 ปริมาณ
No
66°F or higher
$37,431 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$205,924วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$205,924วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 66°F or higher in Denver on May 13 at Buckley Space Force Base, backed by National Weather Service forecasts projecting a peak near 90°F—the hottest day of 2026 so far and nearing the 1915 record of 90°F against a normal high of 70°F. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies inducing subsidence, clear skies, and light winds, with morning readings already climbing past 60°F under mostly sunny conditions; major models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s peaks. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms or marine layer influx capping heating, though current guidance pegs precipitation odds below 20%, with intraday observations determining final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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