Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 4?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 4?
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$45,773 ปริมาณ
$45,773 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
Yes
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$45,773 ปริมาณ
$45,773 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
3°C or below
$600 ปริมาณ
No
4°C
$451 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$1,551 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$918 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$2,844 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$2,873 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$3,073 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$3,528 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$4,029 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$3,388 ปริมาณ
No
13°C or higher
$22,520 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,773วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,773วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 4 reaching 13°C or higher at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, driven by official Finnish Meteorological Institute observations already confirming midday peaks above this threshold amid a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild southerly flows. Hourly data from FMI stations, including Kumpula's early 14°C reading, align with ECMWF and GFS model consensus forecasting daytime highs of 14–16°C under sunny skies, well above early May climatological averages of 12–13°C. This positioning leaves minimal room for downside, though an unexpected cool frontal passage or station-specific measurement revision could theoretically challenge it before daily close; final resolution awaits end-of-day FMI/Wunderground archives.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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