The primary driver behind the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 33°C (27.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) as Lucknow’s highest temperature on July 2 is the advancing southwest monsoon, which has begun delivering increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD observations show a sharp cooling from late-June heatwave peaks above 40°C, with official forecasts now pointing to daytime maxima near 32–34°C amid frequent cloudiness that limits solar heating. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 34°C, but model consensus anticipates modest suppression from rainfall and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and monsoon-driven moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any showers on July 2.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 2?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 2?
33°C 31%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 2, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
22%
33°C
31%
34°C
26%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 31%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 2, 2026
26°C or below
$1,202 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$644 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$175 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$264 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$63 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$254 ปริมาณ
7%
32°C
$4,044 ปริมาณ
22%
33°C
$536 ปริมาณ
31%
34°C
$637 ปริมาณ
26%
35°C
$487 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C or higher
$541 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The primary driver behind the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 33°C (27.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) as Lucknow’s highest temperature on July 2 is the advancing southwest monsoon, which has begun delivering increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD observations show a sharp cooling from late-June heatwave peaks above 40°C, with official forecasts now pointing to daytime maxima near 32–34°C amid frequent cloudiness that limits solar heating. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 34°C, but model consensus anticipates modest suppression from rainfall and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and monsoon-driven moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any showers on July 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,847วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The primary driver behind the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 33°C (27.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) as Lucknow’s highest temperature on July 2 is the advancing southwest monsoon, which has begun delivering increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD observations show a sharp cooling from late-June heatwave peaks above 40°C, with official forecasts now pointing to daytime maxima near 32–34°C amid frequent cloudiness that limits solar heating. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 34°C, but model consensus anticipates modest suppression from rainfall and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and monsoon-driven moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any showers on July 2.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,847วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The primary driver behind the closely matched Polymarket odds favoring 33°C (27.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) as Lucknow’s highest temperature on July 2 is the advancing southwest monsoon, which has begun delivering increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD observations show a sharp cooling from late-June heatwave peaks above 40°C, with official forecasts now pointing to daytime maxima near 32–34°C amid frequent cloudiness that limits solar heating. Historical climatology places early-July averages around 34°C, but model consensus anticipates modest suppression from rainfall and reduced insolation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and monsoon-driven moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any showers on July 2.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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