Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on July 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 1?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$303,861 ปริมาณ
$303,861 ปริมาณ
Jul 1, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$303,861 ปริมาณ
$303,861 ปริมาณ
Jul 1, 2026
18°C or below
$28,083 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$51,629 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$60,631 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$49,681 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$35,693 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$16,155 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$14,918 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$15,673 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$11,231 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$9,173 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$10,994 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$303,861วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$303,861วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent short-range forecast guidance from European and global models indicates a maximum temperature near 22°C in Munich on July 1, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities on 21–23°C outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge over Central Europe is expected to limit daytime heating while allowing modest warming under partly cloudy skies, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Historical July climatology for the region centers on 23–24°C highs, but current synoptic patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and any revisions to surface observations through June 30, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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