**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 2?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$157,590 ปริมาณ
$157,590 ปริมาณ
Jul 2, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$157,590 ปริมาณ
$157,590 ปริมาณ
Jul 2, 2026
19°C or below
$4,775 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$3,255 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$5,257 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$45,464 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$36,671 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$24,041 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$12,210 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$6,054 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$8,848 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$6,888 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$4,127 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$157,590วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$157,590วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Cloud cover and scattered showers expected on July 2 are the main factors tempering trader expectations for Tokyo’s daily maximum.** Official JMA guidance highlights cloudy conditions with frequent showers, which limit solar heating and cap temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 29–30°C. Ensemble model spreads and slight differences in shower timing or intensity create the tight clustering around 23–25°C, as even modest increases in cloud thickness or earlier rain onset can shave 2–4°C off the peak. Above-normal summer temperatures projected by JMA provide a baseline warm bias, yet the immediate synoptic pattern favors moderation. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact high and likely drive the largest shifts in market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย