Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on July 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 6?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,369 ปริมาณ
$81,369 ปริมาณ
Jul 6, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,369 ปริมาณ
$81,369 ปริมาณ
Jul 6, 2026
18°C or below
$3,183 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$4,146 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,911 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$5,696 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$31,162 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$15,876 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,012 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,624 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,217 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,149 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$2,394 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,369วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,369วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Forecast models from global ensembles indicate Moscow's July 6 maximum temperature will likely peak near 21–23 °C, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins. Short-range guidance shows a weak surface high and lingering cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while modest westerly flow keeps values close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger ridging. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any showers that could cap afternoon readings by 1–2 °C. Traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical July variability, where comparable setups have produced outcomes clustered around the observed central tendency.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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