Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 23?
35°C 99.4%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$104,295 ปริมาณ
$104,295 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.4%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$104,295 ปริมาณ
$104,295 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
30°C or below
$2,111 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,439 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,956 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$7,886 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$20,875 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$19,270 ปริมาณ
99%
36°C
$17,937 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$14,328 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$12,028 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$1,789 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$4,676 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104,295วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104,295วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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