The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on July 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 4?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,830 ปริมาณ
$68,830 ปริมาณ
Jul 4, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,830 ปริมาณ
$68,830 ปริมาณ
Jul 4, 2026
26°C or below
$2,978 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$3,218 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,785 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,823 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$3,337 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$5,302 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$10,217 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$16,282 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$7,442 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$9,368 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$5,079 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,830วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,830วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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