Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 25?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 ปริมาณ
$199,102 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$199,102 ปริมาณ
$199,102 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
27°C or below
$1,048 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,224 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$646 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$11,096 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$16,975 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$71,180 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$56,439 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$28,165 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$8,720 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$3,149 ปริมาณ
No
37°C or higher
$460 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$199,102วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$199,102วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate above-normal temperatures for late June 2026, with daily highs expected near 32–34°C on the 25th amid developing El Niño conditions that enhance regional warmth. Afternoon convection, cloud cover, and sea breezes typical of the summer monsoon often cap peak readings, while clear periods allow greater diurnal heating. Historical June averages hover around 31–32°C, but the seasonal outlook favors warmer anomalies. Traders see 32°C and 33°C as the tightest outcomes because short-term model runs show limited spread, with resolution hinging on exact cloud timing and wind patterns over the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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