Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on May 21, establishing the clear market consensus at that precise outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the region, where daytime heating under southerly flows and urban heat island effects often pushes highs into the low 30s amid rising seasonal averages around 29–32°C. Recent climate trends, including a documented long-term warming of about 1.7°C since the industrial era, support elevated readings consistent with normal-to-above-normal May forecasts from the Observatory. The market’s near-certain pricing reflects trader recognition of verified station data from key sites like King’s Park, with limited upside risk from minor forecast revisions or microclimate variations that rarely exceed 1–2°C in official records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 21?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$275,004 ปริมาณ
$275,004 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$275,004 ปริมาณ
$275,004 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
22°C or below
$2,447 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$2,956 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,005 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,473 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,503 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$30,786 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$35,869 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$28,543 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$48,471 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$56,789 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C or higher
$57,161 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on May 21, establishing the clear market consensus at that precise outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the region, where daytime heating under southerly flows and urban heat island effects often pushes highs into the low 30s amid rising seasonal averages around 29–32°C. Recent climate trends, including a documented long-term warming of about 1.7°C since the industrial era, support elevated readings consistent with normal-to-above-normal May forecasts from the Observatory. The market’s near-certain pricing reflects trader recognition of verified station data from key sites like King’s Park, with limited upside risk from minor forecast revisions or microclimate variations that rarely exceed 1–2°C in official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$275,004วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on May 21, establishing the clear market consensus at that precise outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the region, where daytime heating under southerly flows and urban heat island effects often pushes highs into the low 30s amid rising seasonal averages around 29–32°C. Recent climate trends, including a documented long-term warming of about 1.7°C since the industrial era, support elevated readings consistent with normal-to-above-normal May forecasts from the Observatory. The market’s near-certain pricing reflects trader recognition of verified station data from key sites like King’s Park, with limited upside risk from minor forecast revisions or microclimate variations that rarely exceed 1–2°C in official records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$275,004วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum temperature of 31°C on May 21, establishing the clear market consensus at that precise outcome. This aligns with typical late-spring conditions in the region, where daytime heating under southerly flows and urban heat island effects often pushes highs into the low 30s amid rising seasonal averages around 29–32°C. Recent climate trends, including a documented long-term warming of about 1.7°C since the industrial era, support elevated readings consistent with normal-to-above-normal May forecasts from the Observatory. The market’s near-certain pricing reflects trader recognition of verified station data from key sites like King’s Park, with limited upside risk from minor forecast revisions or microclimate variations that rarely exceed 1–2°C in official records.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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