Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on July 29?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 29?
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 25%
94-95°F 24%
92-93°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 29, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
3%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 46%
98-99°F 25%
94-95°F 24%
92-93°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 29, 2026
89°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$26 ปริมาณ
3%
92-93°F
$26 ปริมาณ
7%
94-95°F
$33 ปริมาณ
24%
96-97°F
$19 ปริมาณ
46%
98-99°F
$11 ปริมาณ
25%
100-101°F
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
102-103°F
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
104-105°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
106-107°F
$15 ปริมาณ
3%
108°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$114วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$114วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Houston's July 29 high near 96–98°F as the most likely outcome, aligning with the 52% market-implied probability for 96–97°F. Typical late-July normals sit at 96°F, with current steering patterns and limited moisture supporting modest afternoon heating without strong instability to cap temperatures. Ensemble runs show low odds of exceeding 99°F or dropping below 95°F, though slight model spread around boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover could shift the final reading by a degree or two. Updated guidance ahead of the 29th will refine these probabilities for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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