Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 29?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 29?
68-69°F 33%
70-71°F 31%
66-67°F 19%
64-65°F 16%
ใหม่
$11,235 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,235 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
33%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 33%
70-71°F 31%
66-67°F 19%
64-65°F 16%
ใหม่
$11,235 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,235 ปริมาณ
Jul 29, 2026
61°F or below
$618 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$311 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$3,215 ปริมาณ
16%
66-67°F
$2,353 ปริมาณ
19%
68-69°F
$971 ปริมาณ
33%
70-71°F
$1,033 ปริมาณ
31%
72-73°F
$482 ปริมาณ
5%
74-75°F
$402 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$663 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$883 ปริมาณ
<1%
80°F or higher
$302 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,235วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,235วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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