Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a modest warming trend for San Francisco on July 30, with highs potentially reaching the low-to-mid 70s if onshore flow weakens and the marine layer thins. Persistent coastal upwelling and typical July fog patterns, however, favor suppression near 70°F or below at KSFO, aligning with trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins. Recent observations from the prior week show highs stuck in the upper 60s amid strong onshore winds, and ensemble spreads remain wide due to variable stratus timing. This genuine forecast uncertainty—centered on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts—explains the close clustering around 70–71°F as the modal outcome while capping odds on 74°F-plus scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 30?
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 22%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 30, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 22%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 30, 2026
61°F or below
$2,388 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$363 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$615 ปริมาณ
6%
66-67°F
$1,499 ปริมาณ
16%
68-69°F
$413 ปริมาณ
22%
70-71°F
$640 ปริมาณ
35%
72-73°F
$426 ปริมาณ
16%
74-75°F
$375 ปริมาณ
5%
76-77°F
$331 ปริมาณ
2%
78-79°F
$653 ปริมาณ
<1%
80°F or higher
$380 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a modest warming trend for San Francisco on July 30, with highs potentially reaching the low-to-mid 70s if onshore flow weakens and the marine layer thins. Persistent coastal upwelling and typical July fog patterns, however, favor suppression near 70°F or below at KSFO, aligning with trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins. Recent observations from the prior week show highs stuck in the upper 60s amid strong onshore winds, and ensemble spreads remain wide due to variable stratus timing. This genuine forecast uncertainty—centered on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts—explains the close clustering around 70–71°F as the modal outcome while capping odds on 74°F-plus scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,977วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a modest warming trend for San Francisco on July 30, with highs potentially reaching the low-to-mid 70s if onshore flow weakens and the marine layer thins. Persistent coastal upwelling and typical July fog patterns, however, favor suppression near 70°F or below at KSFO, aligning with trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins. Recent observations from the prior week show highs stuck in the upper 60s amid strong onshore winds, and ensemble spreads remain wide due to variable stratus timing. This genuine forecast uncertainty—centered on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts—explains the close clustering around 70–71°F as the modal outcome while capping odds on 74°F-plus scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,977วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a modest warming trend for San Francisco on July 30, with highs potentially reaching the low-to-mid 70s if onshore flow weakens and the marine layer thins. Persistent coastal upwelling and typical July fog patterns, however, favor suppression near 70°F or below at KSFO, aligning with trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins. Recent observations from the prior week show highs stuck in the upper 60s amid strong onshore winds, and ensemble spreads remain wide due to variable stratus timing. This genuine forecast uncertainty—centered on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts—explains the close clustering around 70–71°F as the modal outcome while capping odds on 74°F-plus scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย