Current ensemble forecasts from major models position Munich's July 31 peak near 34–36°C, aligning with the near-tie between 35°C and 36°C market-implied odds. A strong high-pressure ridge over central Europe favors clear skies and subsidence warming, while light southerly flow advects warmer air from the Mediterranean; however, subtle differences in timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cumulus development create the spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Official stations record daily maxima under these conditions with roughly 1–2°C uncertainty from local siting and measurement timing, keeping 37°C a plausible but lower-probability tail. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour forecast refinements will likely tighten resolution before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on July 31?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 31?
36°C 33%
35°C 32%
37°C 16%
38°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
32%
36°C
33%
37°C
16%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
36°C 33%
35°C 32%
37°C 16%
38°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2026
32°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$42 ปริมาณ
32%
36°C
$49 ปริมาณ
33%
37°C
$11 ปริมาณ
16%
38°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
39°C
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
40°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
41°C
$55 ปริมาณ
1%
42°C or higher
$55 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models position Munich's July 31 peak near 34–36°C, aligning with the near-tie between 35°C and 36°C market-implied odds. A strong high-pressure ridge over central Europe favors clear skies and subsidence warming, while light southerly flow advects warmer air from the Mediterranean; however, subtle differences in timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cumulus development create the spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Official stations record daily maxima under these conditions with roughly 1–2°C uncertainty from local siting and measurement timing, keeping 37°C a plausible but lower-probability tail. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour forecast refinements will likely tighten resolution before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$229วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models position Munich's July 31 peak near 34–36°C, aligning with the near-tie between 35°C and 36°C market-implied odds. A strong high-pressure ridge over central Europe favors clear skies and subsidence warming, while light southerly flow advects warmer air from the Mediterranean; however, subtle differences in timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cumulus development create the spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Official stations record daily maxima under these conditions with roughly 1–2°C uncertainty from local siting and measurement timing, keeping 37°C a plausible but lower-probability tail. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour forecast refinements will likely tighten resolution before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$229วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models position Munich's July 31 peak near 34–36°C, aligning with the near-tie between 35°C and 36°C market-implied odds. A strong high-pressure ridge over central Europe favors clear skies and subsidence warming, while light southerly flow advects warmer air from the Mediterranean; however, subtle differences in timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and possible afternoon cumulus development create the spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Official stations record daily maxima under these conditions with roughly 1–2°C uncertainty from local siting and measurement timing, keeping 37°C a plausible but lower-probability tail. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour forecast refinements will likely tighten resolution before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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