Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,008 ปริมาณ
$51,008 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$51,008 ปริมาณ
$51,008 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
26°C or below
$2,404 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,767 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,755 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$9,815 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$8,193 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$7,696 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$8,782 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$2,281 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$2,202 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$1,135 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$1,979 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,008วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,008วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 30°C high for Istanbul on June 15, with mid-June climatology and persistent high-pressure ridging favoring peak readings near this threshold under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows daytime maxima stabilizing around 28–30°C, aligning with historical averages that climb toward 26–28°C by mid-month. Traders' strong consensus reflects real-time model agreement and observed conditions through the day, though modest uncertainty remains from potential afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement or brief convective cloud development that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย