Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 3?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,690 ปริมาณ
$35,690 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,690 ปริมาณ
$35,690 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
29°C or below
$6,824 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,348 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,033 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$1,898 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$1,895 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$2,412 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$1,820 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$8,233 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$1,648 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$4,193 ปริมาณ
No
39°C or higher
$4,387 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,690วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,690วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 3, driven by official observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) already registering 39°C in early morning METAR reports under clear skies and a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge. GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts had clustered maximums around 36–39°C, with minimal cloud cover (CAVOK conditions) and light winds enabling rapid daytime heating amid May's climatological norms of 37°C averages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified airport data as the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges would require anomalous afternoon cooling from unforecast sea breezes or marine stratus, though model consensus and current trends make this improbable as the day progresses toward peak solar insolation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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