Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lagos on May 8?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 8?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$122,208 ปริมาณ
$122,208 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$122,208 ปริมาณ
$122,208 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
27°C or below
$8,272 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$51,693 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$12,535 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$6,481 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$13,113 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$6,100 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$4,603 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$3,432 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$6,992 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$2,492 ปริมาณ
No
37°C or higher
$6,494 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$122,208วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$122,208วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:16 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM), as archived by Weather Underground—the market's designated resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on May 8 reached exactly 29°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This outcome aligns with the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet)'s daily bulletin forecasting isolated thunderstorms and moderate rainfall across southern Nigeria, including Lagos, which boosted cloud cover, high humidity, and gusty winds to suppress peak heating below the May climatological average of 31.5°C during the wet season onset. Realistic challenges would require a rare revision to the airport's METAR records or NiMet-validated correction from an alternative official station, though such discrepancies are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Traders await no further updates, as the event has resolved.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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