The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on May 21?
Highest temperature in London on May 21?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$152,757 ปริมาณ
$152,757 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$152,757 ปริมาณ
$152,757 ปริมาณ
May 21, 2026
18°C or below
$7,172 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,086 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,606 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$10,092 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$26,708 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$25,723 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$27,046 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$27,207 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$13,458 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,948 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$2,713 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,757วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,757วันสิ้นสุด
May 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The dominant market consensus on a 24°C high for London on May 21 stems from final observational data released by the UK Met Office, which recorded a maximum temperature of exactly 24°C at its official London monitoring sites. This outcome aligns with post-frontal conditions that limited daytime warming under variable cloud cover and moderate northwesterly winds, preventing the stronger insolation needed for higher readings. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 18–20°C, making the observed value a modest anomaly driven by recent warm advection. With the 24-hour period now concluded, no further model revisions or threshold shifts remain possible, locking in the market-implied probability at 100 percent barring any retrospective data correction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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