Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures, keeping the July 18 high most likely in the mid-70s at official resolution stations such as KLAX. Morning low clouds and fog followed by afternoon sea breeze typically cap readings several degrees below inland values, consistent with the 76-77°F bin holding the largest share of trader-implied probability. Recent days have featured similar patterns with observed highs resolving in the 74-75°F range, reinforcing consensus around below-average July conditions. Updated model guidance and any shifts in the marine inversion strength ahead of the resolution deadline remain key variables for traders monitoring this short-term market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 18?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$110,004 ปริมาณ
$110,004 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$110,004 ปริมาณ
$110,004 ปริมาณ
Jul 18, 2026
69°F or below
$1,139 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$1,001 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$3,149 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$14,208 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$24,965 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$11,232 ปริมาณ
Yes
80-81°F
$9,361 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$11,999 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$14,267 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$12,362 ปริมาณ
No
88°F or higher
$6,321 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures, keeping the July 18 high most likely in the mid-70s at official resolution stations such as KLAX. Morning low clouds and fog followed by afternoon sea breeze typically cap readings several degrees below inland values, consistent with the 76-77°F bin holding the largest share of trader-implied probability. Recent days have featured similar patterns with observed highs resolving in the 74-75°F range, reinforcing consensus around below-average July conditions. Updated model guidance and any shifts in the marine inversion strength ahead of the resolution deadline remain key variables for traders monitoring this short-term market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,004วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures, keeping the July 18 high most likely in the mid-70s at official resolution stations such as KLAX. Morning low clouds and fog followed by afternoon sea breeze typically cap readings several degrees below inland values, consistent with the 76-77°F bin holding the largest share of trader-implied probability. Recent days have featured similar patterns with observed highs resolving in the 74-75°F range, reinforcing consensus around below-average July conditions. Updated model guidance and any shifts in the marine inversion strength ahead of the resolution deadline remain key variables for traders monitoring this short-term market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,004วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs point to persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures, keeping the July 18 high most likely in the mid-70s at official resolution stations such as KLAX. Morning low clouds and fog followed by afternoon sea breeze typically cap readings several degrees below inland values, consistent with the 76-77°F bin holding the largest share of trader-implied probability. Recent days have featured similar patterns with observed highs resolving in the 74-75°F range, reinforcing consensus around below-average July conditions. Updated model guidance and any shifts in the marine inversion strength ahead of the resolution deadline remain key variables for traders monitoring this short-term market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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